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Cavala: Competitive Legislative Seats Do Not Produce “Moderate” Lawmakers

towashington 089.gifBy Bill Cavala
A veteran of over 30 years in Sacramento

The Bee’s Dan Weintraub hosts another “conversation” on Prop 11 today – with the upshot being that we should vote for Prop 11 – the Governor’s redistricting scheme. Prop 11 creates a “commission” would ostensibly draw more “competitive” seats than the Legislature. These “competitive” districts would then produce more moderates and fewer partisans, improving state government in the bargain.

Only that’s nonsense.

The “more moderates” theory assumes first, that the Prop 11 Commission would create more competitive seats. But anyone reading Prop 11 would see that nowhere is that requirement included in the line-drawing instructions given to the Commission. Instead, they are required to follow the geography of city lines and, of course, federal population requirements. This will eliminate any hope of producing more “competitive” districts.

It will, however, produce more Republican districts.

Will this influx of Republicans not “moderate” the GOP caucus? Can’t we expect more Schwarzeneggers and Ken Maddys from the Republicans if Prop 11 passes?

It might be instructive to look at the candidates running in this month’s election which – according to the expensive and neutral “target book” – are competitive: AD’s 10, 15, 26, 30, 78 and 80. Have ANY of the Republican nominees in these seats refused to sign the “no tax” pledge of the Republican Caucus? Have ANY: of these Republicans agreed to support “moderate” Governor Schwarzenegger’s plan to correct deficits through a temporary tax increase?

Have ANY: of these Republicans in competitive seats agreed to continue California’s ban on “assault weapons”?

How many of these Republicans are supporting the efforts to eliminate discrimination against gay couples?

How many of these Republicans stand with the 80% of the voters who believe government should stay out of matters involving a woman’s reproductive choice decisions?

And, looking backward, did we notice the Republican incumbents in the competitive seats of AD 15 (Guy Houston), AD 78 (Shirley Horton) and AD 80 (Bonnie Garcia) taking “moderate” positions on any issue of importance? Did any of these Members show the slightest inclination to support the Governor on the budget this year or last year?

The simple truth is that district lines don’t produce “moderates”, they produce either Democrats or Republicans. History shows us that districts which produce Republicans produce ideological hard heads (to paraphrase the Republican Governor). Prop 11 would produce more Republicans.

That’s why the California Democratic Party, Speaker Nancy Pelosi and the vast majority of elected Democrats oppose Prop 11.

Bill Cavala was Deputy Director of the Assembly Speaker’s Office of Member Services where he worked for over 30 years. He attended undergraduate and graduate school in the 1960’s and received a doctorate in political science at UC Berkeley. He taught political science at UC Berkeley during the 1970's while he worked part-time for the State Assembly.

Cavala left teaching at UC Berkeley for Assembly Speaker Willie Brown in 1981 until his tenure as Speaker ended in 1995, and he has worked for his five successors as Speaker. He now manages election campaigns for Democratic candidates.

Posted on October 05, 2008

Comments

Cavala keeps referring to Prop 11 as the “Governor’s Scheme”, as if Arnold wrote the initiative. He didn’t. Prop 11 was written by the League of Women Voters and Common Cause, those stealth “right-wing” outfits. But let’s take a closer look at Cavala’s argument, that Democrats should apparently fight anything the Governor supports or opposes.

If Arnold’s support for Prop 11, or anything else, is so bad, then perhaps Democrats should support off shore drilling. After all, Arnold has a scheme to oppose drilling off the coast of California, and don’t we have to be against the governor and his scheme?

Perhaps Democrats should support Prop 8 and ban same sex marriage. After all, the Governor has a scheme to oppose Prop 8 and, thereby, support same sex marriage. His scheme must be bad. Blah, blah, blah.

The point is that Cavala is blowing smoke in the voter’s face. He hopes they won’t see that gerrymandering legislative districts is dishonest government. He hopes that the voters won’t see that gerrymandering is a way of rigging elections. He hopes they won’t understand that gerrymandering, the way Cavala did in 2001 during the last redistricting, is a way to cancel democracy.

But the voters are learning. Almost every major newspaper in the state has endorsed Prop 11, including the LA Times and the San Francisco Chronicle. Major organizations such as the ACLU, the NAACP, and the League of California Cities have endorsed Prop 11. Democratic leaders, Democratic clubs, Democratic candidates and such luminaries as Erwin Chemerinsky have endorsed Prop 11.

Don’t let Cavala, or anyone, blow smoke in your face. Gerrymandering is dishonest. Prop 11 will end gerrymandering.

Posted by: George at October 5, 2008 12:39 PM

Prop 11 is an attempt by the diminishing white majority to avoid relinquishing power to the emerging non-white majority of Californians. Democrats draw districts to enable the election of minority candidates--Prop 11 has criteria which will vastly diminish these types of districts. Prop 11 proponents claim the Voting Rights Act will prevent discrimination but in actual fact the VRA has been decimated by the Supreme Court and does not protect minorities to any significant degree. While Cavala and George see this in terms of partisanship what is really being argued about is how California assimilates the new Californians--do we provide them with the opportunities that allow success in this society or do we accept a permanent underclass? The latter is the attempt by Republicans to create an aristocracy of wealth, the former is in keeping with a millenia of further expansion of the rights of man.

Posted by: publius at October 5, 2008 01:07 PM

So, let’s see………Common Cause and the League of Women Voters are trying to protect the diminishing white majority from having to relinquish power. That’s probably the single most ridiculous argument that’s been made by the pro-gerrymandering side.

Gerrymandering isn’t about distributing power amongst emerging minorities. It’s about protecting incumbents, and it has been wildly successful.

Prop 11 is about removing an incredible conflict of interest where legislators draw their own districts and select their own voters. It’s about returning a basic power to the people – that the voters should decide who represents them.

And, please…….Let’s not have anymore of that deceitful cliché that the voters already decide who to vote for. The districts are fixed and the elections are rigged.

Prop 11 will eliminate gerrymandering.

Posted by: George at October 5, 2008 02:32 PM

Common Cause and the League of Women Voters are run by white well-off liberals who don't have a clue about what it is like to be a minority. None of the brown or black former Speakers of the Assembly are for Prop 11, Hertzberg, the lone white Democrat, is. Sense a pattern?

Posted by: publius at October 5, 2008 03:29 PM

Uhm... actually the heads of California Common Cause and the LWV are both Asian-American, the fastest growing minority group in California. So yeah, the pattern I see is that you're clueless.

Also, you don't seem to realize that minorities saw their biggest gains in California after the 1990 redistricting when the Special Masters, instead of the Legislature, redrew the lines. Incumbent Democrats don't care about electing minorities, they care about re-electing themselves.

Posted by: BlueStater2008 at October 6, 2008 09:16 AM

BlueStater2008 obviously has adopted the Republican narrative of tokenism (aka as the "Clarence Thomas" gambit). Putting a minority in charge of an organization otherwise run by whites is an obvious ploy (and Asian-Americans are not underrepresented minorities either).

As for the "gains", they would have happened under the districts which were vetoed by Wilson. The gains came primarily from demographic change and term limits removing the old legislators. Minorities access to power, however, took a dramatic hit during the Pringle interregnum. Were the districts to be drawn by the Prop 11 commission you would see the rule of white men in the Assembly, just like you do in the Senate.

Posted by: publius at October 6, 2008 11:10 AM

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