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Losing Focus on High Speed Rail

Robert-Cruickshank.gifBy Robert Cruickshank
California High Speed Rail Blog

It wasn't the article I was hoping to read upon my return from my honeymoon, but it's not that surprising to read in the Fresno Bee that the Sierra Club and the Planning and Conservation League are hesitating on backing Prop 1 and even considering a lawsuit - and for the nonsensical reason that the choice of the Pacheco route might "induce sprawl." That objection is bad enough, for reasons I'll discuss in a moment.

But what's really disturbing about this move is that it suggests the Sierra Club and the PCL have lost their focus - instead of looking at the big picture of high speed rail and emphasizing the game-changing environmental benefits it brings, they're focusing on a small non-issue instead. They've lost sight of the forest for the trees and instead of providing leadership on this issue they may instead cast their lot with the far right and leave Californians with no viable alternative to soaring fuel prices and a transportation system that is making our environmental problems far worse.

First, their criticisms as reported by E.J. Schulz:

“But the environmentalists are still seething over the selection of relatively undeveloped Pacheco Pass as the route to connect the Central Valley to the Bay Area. They favor the more urban Altamont Pass to the north because they say it would induce less sprawl....

“Environmentalists would rather see trains run farther north in the Valley before heading west so that more populated cities are served. They like the Altamont route because it would bring trains closer to Modesto, Dublin, Pleasanton and Livermore in the first phase.

“By contrast, the Pacheco route -- roughly following Highway 152 -- is in a less populated area. Environmentalists worry that a planned station in Gilroy would induce sprawl in surrounding rural areas.”

These worries are baseless. Gilroy and much of southern Santa Clara County have strict urban growth boundaries. If those places were going to sprawl they would have already done so given their proximity to the job center and hot housing market of Silicon Valley. HSR doesn't change that dynamic.

Nor does it change the fact that sprawl is facing hard times. Sprawl is bad, but it isn't a force of nature. It is instead a product of three major factors: cheap oil, cheap credit, and favorable land use laws. The first is disappearing for good, thanks to peak oil. The second doesn't exist now, and may never return. Certainly land use policies need to change to limit sprawl, but those changes have long ago been made in southern Santa Clara County. Why should HSR alone carry that burden? AB 32 carbon reduction goals should be applied to new housing developments, and ultimately, localities will have to change their ways.

The loss of cheap oil and the shortage of cheap credit together will lessen sprawl dramatically in the coming decades. I fully support land use changes to further kill off sprawl, but it's not worth holding HSR hostage to produce the changes that need to happen anyway at the state and local level.

The death of sprawl has already made itself manifest in Gilroy. The Westfield shopping center developers had a plan to convert a significant amount of farmland acreage east of Gilroy along Highway 152 into a huge mall. The plan aroused the opposition of the community and it was dropped earlier this year. High fuel prices, the credit crunch, and public defense of urban growth boundaries all combined to kill that sprawl project. Those factors will do so again.

A Gilroy HSR station would produce strong incentives for transit-oriented dense development in Gilroy, the kind of development that California cities need to focus on instead of sprawl. Gilroy is already partway there, and an HSR station where the current Caltrain station is located at 8th and Monterey would actually discourage sprawl because there would be viable alternatives to building on new farmland. The combination of infill development and strict urban growth rules are what have made Portland's anti-sprawl plans a success - you need both for the anti-sprawl measures to work. And high capacity mass transit is a necessary component.

Further, since the Authority has rejected plans for a Los Banos stop, and since as Mehdi Morshed explained in the Fresno Bee article that the communities along the Altamont route were not supportive of HSR, what on earth explains the ongoing refusal of the Sierra Club and the PCL to throw their support to Prop 1?

The only answer is a very depressing one, but an answer that is becoming more widely accepted among many environmental activists, sustainability activists, transportation activists, and folks on the left more broadly: the Sierra Club and the PCL have lost their way, and have lost sight of the big picture. In case folks haven't been paying attention, this country faces a climate crisis and an energy crisis. It's not like we have a whole lot of time to be fighting over objections that are not grounded in fact. At Netroots Nation two weekends ago Al Gore explained that we need to stop burning carbon and make a bold move to power our society with renewable energy. An electrically-powered high speed train system won't achieve that 100% renewables goal itself, but it would provide significant environmental benefits:

-Reduce carbon dioxide emissions equivalent to removing 1.4 million cars from the road, and take the place of nearly 42 million annual city to city car trips

-Reduce CO2 emissions by up to 17.6 billion pounds/year

-Reduce California's oil consumption by up to 22 million barrels/year (same as above)

According to the Final EIR 63% of intercity trips over 150 miles in California are taken by car (scroll to page 12). HSR would provide a huge dent in that figure.

High speed rail is one of those game changing proposals. How can the Sierra Club and the PCL overlook the cars taken off the road? How can they overlook the CO2 reductions? How can they overlook the reduction in pollution, especially in the Central Valley?

Four years ago Michael Schellenberger and Ted Nordhaus criticized the Sierra Club directly in their seminal essay The Death of Environmentalism. In their view the environmental movement, by focusing on small battles, has totally failed to address global warming, and that organizations like the Sierra Club "have little to show" for nearly 30 years of environmental activism after the big victories of the late '60s and early '70s. One of their specific criticisms is that the Sierra Club, for example, often eschews big policy changes for a niggling incrementalism that has done nothing to arrest the rate of warming. This has led them to refuse to articulate a bold vision for addressing the global warming crisis that of course hurts the natural environment, and it has led them to ignore the politics of producing change.

The Sierra Club's failure on high speed rail proves each of Schellenberger and Nordhaus' controversial charges. Instead of helping change the way Californians get around their state, shifting them away from oil-burning methods of travel to clean methods of travel that limit sprawl and generate urban densities, they are focusing on a small objection that doesn't even hold up on close examination. They have endorsed the concept of high speed rail in the past but if they don't endorse Prop 1, what other opportunity will they have to get it passed? If the HSR bonds don't pass this year, they aren't coming back anytime soon. It might take 10 years to revive the project - it's taken 15 in Texas - and that means completion of the line wouldn't happen until close to 2030.

By then it may be too late. Instead of refusing to support Prop 1 out of pique that they lost the Altamont vs. Pacheco argument, the Sierra Club and the PCL should follow Van Jones' advice and move from opposition to proposition. We have a proposition - literally - before us. Instead of being on the constant defensive the Sierra Club and the PCL can help California take a bold step in the right direction with Proposition 1. If we pass these bonds in November it will then be a signal to other states and to Congress that HSR is a politically popular project and it will spur similar projects around the country - projects that we desperately need.

Why would the Sierra Club and the PCL oppose these things? They have let their opposition to the Pacheco alignment blind them to the bigger picture. That decision has been made and even though the Sierra Club and the PCL lost, they can still be big winners. Let's hope they recognize the pressing environmental need for high speed rail before it's too late.

Robert Cruickshank is a historian, activist, and teacher living in Monterey. He is a contributing editor at Calitics.com and works for the Courage Campaign, in addition to teaching political science at Monterey Peninsula College. Currently he is completing his Ph.D. dissertation in US history, on progressive politics in San Francisco in the 1960s and 1970s. A native Californian, he was raised in Orange County and educated at UC Berkeley. This article originally appeared on the California High Speed Rail Blog http://cahsr.blogspot.com/ which he publishes.

Posted on August 03, 2008

Comments

Lets see, California HSR has:

-No current business plan

-No private enterprise investors

-No critical right-of-way agreements with the UP railroad

-No finalized route alignments in key areas

-No decision on which part of the line to build first, second, etc.

-HSR is hyped to be airport security/TSA friendly without even a nod to now having built some 400 miles of rail, both in urban and very rural areas, which is now exposed to terrorist action vice just airports. (A slow train like Madrid did but for sure a 200MPH train makes for a tempting target...)

Yet our state HSR "authority" has spent 6 years and some $10 million state taxpayer dollars on this current product of theirs.

I have an idea...

Lets put a $10 BILLION DOLLAR BOND ISSUE on Novembers ballot to further feed this animal! Heck, that amount is only equal to 1/2 of the current state budget deficit! No worries, our grandkids will be paying it off for us...

But that $10 billion bond will "secure" federal matching funds...

Wait, those are our tax dollars TOO are they not?

No mention of the likely cost overrruns of a project of this magnatude either. Remember the "Big Dig"?

Lets not get lost in environmentalist/green good feelings today for a taxpayer funded poor project plan with massives costs tomorrow.

No, not against HSR, but FOR DOING IT RIGHT. And this isn't it we see today.

Posted by: Jay Gould at August 3, 2008 09:19 AM

There's a whole section devoted to the business plan on CHSRA's web site: http://www.cahighspeedrail.ca.gov/library/

Posted by: Spokker at August 3, 2008 12:45 PM

Spokker,

The Business Plan you reference is from June 2000, over eight years old...

This was "discovered" as being out of date during recent Transportation Committee hearings on HSR. The HSR Authority "wished they had more money" to update their own business plan...If that isn't an admission by the proponets themselves that it is out of date, I don't know what is.

Also consider, no private sector enterprise would ask for a $10 Billion dollar bond measure or it's equivilant with an over 8 year old business plan as it's justification. But a flawed governmental approach to this project would and DID!

Ok, try again or with any of the other 5 listed flaws above.

Again, not anti-HSR, but FOR DOING IT RIGHT. Mere good intentions and taxpayer money do not a transportation system come from.

Posted by: Jay Gould at August 3, 2008 01:25 PM

Meanwhile, the State of California hopes to build about twenty billion dollars in new / wider highways even though we are passing Peak Oil.

Posted by: mark at August 5, 2008 12:27 AM

Cruickshank has completely misunderstood Sierra Club California's position, which is not surprising since he didn't bother to contact us before making errant assumptions. As anyone actually involved in the legislative process could have told him, we have taken a pro-active stance by negotiating for language in AB 3034 that would modify Prop 1 to our liking (the bill is on the Senate floor now). This is the opposite of the defensive stance ascribed to us by Cruickshank. But it's not surprising that he got this wrong, given that he cites as an authoritative source the discredited and inaccurate Schellenberger-Nordhaus essay, which so wrongly predicted the "Death of Environmentalism."

Bill Magavern
Director
Sierra Club California

Posted by: bill magavern at August 5, 2008 02:24 PM

Oh, and the reason why the buisness plan hasn't been updated sooner is because the CHSRA lacked funding, and so had to choose between updating it and dealing with the legally-required environmental impact assessment.

Posted by: Tom West at August 6, 2008 12:13 PM

Tom,

You mean the legislature, the one with a democratic majority and in all the leadership positions didn't think HSR was worth further funding to at least pay for an updated business plan???

But now there will be a $10 Billion bond issue on a project that is 1/2 baked?

Again, you point out one "shortcoming" to my previous post here. Where is the "logic" in contradicting the other ones?

I look forward to your reply(ies)

Posted by: Jay Gould at August 6, 2008 02:23 PM

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