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Ventura Comes After Vallejo? Some Thoughts on Municipal Finance in California
By Frank Pecarich
Bad investments may lead California cities other than Vallejo into dire financial straits. As we see below, Ventura's problem is different from Vallejo’s -- not labor contracts -- and the handwriting is not on the wall yet regarding the final outcome of their “investment”. But it is a wake up call to us and potentially other cities about their investment policies and procedures.
A few weeks ago after saying they believed they only had a minor problem with revenue this year, the City of Ventura came out with a revised position which said the City budget was in crisis. Well, they put it a bit differently in their March 19th press release with this euphemistic title, “City of Ventura Executes Immediate Steps to Preserve Fiscal Sustainability” With all due deference to the recent popularity of the term ‘sustainability’, after reading the press release I prefer my description of the situation as a ‘crisis’. I know that if I had this much jeopardy in my household budget, I’d call it a crisis.
As far back as 8 months ago, there were cities in California that were indicating deep concern about their budgets given the State’s economic problems. Last Fall, the City Manager of Bakersfield for example, publicly alerted the City Council that there could easily be a major revenue shortfall. More recently, the City of Vallejo announced severe conditions that could lead the City of Vallejo to bankruptcy. The decision to declare bankruptcy was finally made last week by the Vallejo City Council.
The City of San Francisco has for months now been planning major cutbacks to accommodate their shrinking revenue. Through all this and up to its March 19th announcement, the only problem identified by Ventura was a small shortfall of approximately $2 million, which is not even a 2% shortfall in their overall budget.
On March 19th however, the City of Ventura jolted Ventura citizens to life with the announcement that cuts would likely need to be made and quickly. The list of probable cuts is extensive, including closing City Hall every other Friday and an immediate hiring freeze. At least I thought, the City has finally caught on to the economic downturn by stating, “Locally, the economic downturn has affected City revenue through a loss of expected sales tax dollars - currently 10% below projections; decreased property tax from falling home prices - down 24 percent over the prior year; and a decrease in revenue from building permits - down more than 15 percent from expected totals.”
Then part of the next sentence in the press release jumped out at me, “liquidity has also been affected; the City holds $10 million in what were AAA rated Bear Stearns investment notes”. $10 million of the City’s assets were “invested” in Bear Stearns private assets which had been technically reduced to almost worthless in the JP Morgan buyout of near-bankrupt Bear Stearns. What the City means is that their ‘investment’ is illiquid because it cannot be exchanged on the market for any amount of money close to the initial investment. That is to say, it is near worthless as long as it has no liquidity value.
Stepping back, we need to see there is a very special role that needs to be played with City assets by their Finance Officer and Finance Office. Paramount in any city finance mission is preserving the safety of the reserves and minimizing risk. If you review charters from municipalities all over the country, you will see that preserving financial assets is supposed to be their top priority; any investment for gain should be done with the primary goal of asset preservation in mind.
City finance officers are supposed to be trained in public finance and have competence to determine the financial safety and viability of any investment proposal. Most cities invest their cash assets in highly safe Treasury instruments and other government-backed securities. Risking money with an investment bank such as Bear Stearns would not be high on a list of prudent investments. Pure investment banks such as Bear Stearns are not remotely similar to commercial banks such as Wells Fargo or Bank of America. There is no form of government insurance for deposits, and they are recognized as focused on higher risk ventures such as hedge funds, etc. Bear Stearns was also heavily exposed to subprime mortgages, plus the firm had less capital and was less diversified than even its investment bank rivals.
Moreover it should have been no big surprise to anyone paying attention that Bear Stearns was in trouble. As early as nine months ago, evidence of their trauma was in the news. (See Box – Bear Sterns, The Evidence of a High Risk Gone Bad) It can never be said that Bear Stearns’ problems were flying below the radar.
BOX
Back on June 22, 2007 as reported by the New York Times and popular press, Bear Stearns pledged a collateralized loan of up to $3.2 billion to "bail out" one of its funds, the Bear Stearns High-Grade Structured Credit Fund, while negotiating with other banks to loan money against collateral to another fund, the Bear Stearns High-Grade Structured Credit Enhanced Leveraged Fund The funds were invested in thinly traded collateralized debt obligations (CDO) found to be worth less than their mark-to-model value. Merrill Lynch seized $850 million worth of the underlying collateral but only was able to auction $100 million of them. The incident sparked concern of contagion as Bear Stearns may be forced to liquidate its CDOs, prompting a mark-down of similar assets in other portfolios.
During the week of July 16, 2007, Bear Stearns publicly disclosed that the two subprime hedge funds had lost nearly all of their value amid a rapid decline in the market for subprime mortgages. END BOX
Given the ample and public information regarding the woes of Bear Stearns, last July the financial stewards at the City of Ventura should have been taking actions that would have put Ventura at less risk. There is no good reason I can think of why Ventura is still holding Bear Stearns bonds which are presently worthless and which could have been sold on the market months earlier when Bear Stearns was clearly in so much financial trouble.
So we have two questions for the people charged with protecting our financial assets at the City of Ventura.
--Why did you even think about investing money in high risk investment bank debt obligations?
-- And, once it was clear there was a big problem with Bear Stearns, why did you not take action to avert the potential for a disastrous loss of needed reserve funds?
The stated investment policy for Ventura identifies “safety” of principal as the foremost objective of the City investment program. And yet with evidence mounting in the investment world for the past year that risk was high and ever increasing, the stewards of our financial assets did not act to lessen risk and the elected officials to whom they report did not intervene.
How Did This Happen?
The City is supposed to have an oversight and advisory committee which is to help guide the City in investment matters. But when we look at the membership of this group called the “Investment Oversight Committee” in Ventura we find it is comprised not of outside, independent financial advisors who could provide real advice, expertise and oversight. Rather it is composed of City Manager Rick Cole and three of his finance department employees and only one non-employee member, Rosa Lee Measures. Checking the public record shows that Ms. Measures in addition to performing on the Ventura City Council in past years has made a career in banking over 25 years, serving as Vice President and Regional Manager of the Imperial Savings and Loan Association.
Call me naïve but where was the representation of someone who is steeped in the financial practices of modern day public investment? Where is the evidence that anyone familiar with the daily topsy turvy atmosphere of fixed income investment was even available for consultation? In other words and with all due respect for Ventura’s pride in self-management, who was watching the store? How could anyone having any sense of the investment world not realize until sometime in March 2008 that major financial institutions all over the globe were crumpling like a cheap suit?
I keep wondering—am I asking too much? What do other cities do? What does their advisory body look like?
I would say that either the people responsible for money management in the City of Ventura didn’t know what was happening or that they knew what was happening and chose to ignore the consequences. In any event, Ventura citizens deserve better and should demand better from their public servants and those who choose to lead them in elected office. Let’s also hope that other cities have not gone down the treacherous financial path taken by the City of Ventura.
Frank Pecarich lives in Ventura County and has followed California politics and public policy for over 40 years.
Comments
It's unfortunate that in an otherwise eloquent and informative posting, Frank Pecarich buys into the nonsense that the financial problem in Vallejo is solely the result of lucrative contracts for police and fire personnel.
Vallejo has massive waste in its budget, but it is trying to hide the truth by blaming the "big, bad public safety unions" for its plight. It is ironic that nowhere in any of the city's p.r. releases or, worse, in the media's so-called coverage of this situation is there any mention of the huge givebacks by police and fire unions in an attempt to keep their services in operation.
Someone really needs to do an in-depth investigation of what is REALLY going on in Vallejo. Unfortunately, the media finds it much easier to continue to bash public employees.
Posted by: StevefromSacto at May 13, 2008 09:46 AM
It's unfortunate that in an otherwise eloquent and informative posting, Frank Pecarich buys into the nonsense that the financial problem in Vallejo is solely the result of lucrative contracts for police and fire personnel.
Vallejo has massive waste in its budget, but it is trying to hide the truth by blaming the "big, bad public safety unions" for its plight. It is ironic that nowhere in any of the city's p.r. releases or, worse, in the media's so-called coverage of this situation is there any mention of the huge givebacks by police and fire unions in an attempt to keep their services in operation.
Someone really needs to do an in-depth investigation of what is REALLY going on in Vallejo. Unfortunately, the media finds it much easier to continue to bash public employees.
Posted by: StevefromSacto at May 13, 2008 09:47 AM
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