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Schrag: Why the Marriage Exclusion Act May be Defeated in November in California

Schrag.gif By Peter Schrag

Among the many Democrats applauding the California Supreme Court's May 15 decision striking down the state's barriers to same-sex marriage, there must have been more than a little anxiety. Among conservatives condemning it, there had to be just a bit of unarticulated joy.

Both for the same obvious reason: the possibility, as after a similar decision in Massachusetts in 2004, that it would re-energize religious-right support for a dispirited Republican Party that has been at the short end of virtually every major national issue in recent years. The decision, one Democrat said, would have been better-timed in 2009.

Ironically, it also loads some GOP hopes on the backs of Latino voters, many of whom tend to be conservative on social issues such as abortion and gay rights. The paradox can't be lost on the most vehement of the immigration restrictionists.

In addition, of course, there's the near certainty that the "California Marriage Protection Act," an initiative that would probably overturn the court's decision, will be on the November ballot.

Nonetheless, 2008 may not be 2004, even on the issue of gay marriage.

The most recent poll data from PPIC, the Public Policy Institute of California, shows that opposition to gay marriage among Californians has weakened from the 61 percent who supported Proposition 22, the initiative in 2000 that decreed the gay marriage ban, to roughly 49 percent last year. A Los Angeles Times poll last week showed 51 percent supporting a gay marriage ban.

There were also indications, according to PPIC President Mark Baldassare, that voters seemed prepared to respond to further changes of climate toward acceptance of gay marriage. The court's decision this month is clearly such a sign.

There's thus a fair chance that the "Marriage Protection Act" – newspeak for "marriage exclusion act" – might be defeated.

As the court said, "The exclusion of same-sex couples from the designation of marriage clearly is not necessary in order to afford full protection to all of the rights and benefits that currently are enjoyed by married opposite-sex couples."

Even coming from California, which once led the parade of ballot measures prohibiting gay marriage, defeat of the November initiative would send a signal louder than any court decision.

Either way that vote turns out, moreover, there's not much doubt that in a democracy priding itself on equal rights, and with a new more tolerant generation joining the body politic, time is probably running out on bans on same-sex marriage.

As the court held, given the importance of "the fundamental right to form a family relationship, the California Constitution properly must be interpreted to guarantee this basic civil right to all Californians, whether gay or heterosexual, and to same-sex couples as well as to opposite-sex couples." That's real marriage protection.

In their objections to the decision, many conservatives, among them Justice Marvin Baxter, one of the dissenters, attacked the court for its judicial activism.

The court, Baxter wrote, "not satisfied with the pace of democratic change, now … substitutes, by judicial fiat, its own social policy views for those expressed by the people themselves."

What the critics failed to note is that six of the court's seven members, including Chief Justice Ron George, who wrote the court's elegant opinion, were appointed by Republican governors.

The opinion, much of which rests on the moral and legal precedent of the landmark 1948 California Supreme Court decision striking down the state's ban on interracial marriage, acknowledges the centuries-old tradition of heterosexual marriage but contends that as in the ban on miscegenation "history alone is not invariably an appropriate guide for determining the meaning and scope of this fundamental constitutional guarantee. …

"Our state now recognizes that an individual's capacity to establish a loving and long-term committed relationship with another person and responsibly to care for and raise children does not depend upon the individual's sexual orientation, and, more generally, that an individual's sexual orientation – like a person's race or gender – does not constitute a legitimate basis upon which to deny or withhold legal rights.

"We therefore conclude that in view of the substance and significance of the fundamental constitutional right to form a family relationship, the California Constitution properly must be interpreted to guarantee this basic civil right to all Californians, whether gay or heterosexual, and to same-sex couples as well as to opposite-sex couples."

San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom, who, in an effort to strengthen his own hometown base started this round in the battle over gay marriage, took a lot of heat and raised a lot of doubts – including my own – about the political consequences of his decision to marry thousands of people in 2004. Sen. Dianne Feinstein, among others, put some of the blame for the Democrats' defeat that year on Newsom's decision.

As politics, Newsom's marriages were premature in 2004. But if the trends continue, and voters defeat the November marriage exclusion act, some future generation may well see Newsom, the California justices and the voters as visionaries.

Peter Schrag is the former editorial page editor of the Sacramento Bee. This article is published with his permission.

Posted on May 28, 2008

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