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Will Bill Durston Be Able to Beat Dan Lungren in California CD 3?
Parallels with McNerney win over Pombo Seen, but will it be enough?
By Randy Bayne
The Bayne of Blog's California Notes
Democrats in the 3rd Congressional District pinned their hopes on an emergency room physician in 2006 and lost. This year they are once again hoping that Dr. Bill Durston can win this one time Republican haven, and with news of the shrinking lead in Republican registration numbers in the district, many are taking that optimism to a new level.
Their optimism began with what they saw as a similarity between the history of Jerry McNerney's campaign in the 11th CD, and Durston's campaign in the 3rd. The numbers are similar, and the progress identical. Both lost their first time out, registration numbers became more favorable, and McNerney won his second try. is it possible, they wonder, for Durston to win this go round?
Republican voter registration in California is on the decline, but nowhere is the effect more pronounced than in the Sacramento region's 3rd Congressional District.
Incumbent Rep. Dan Lungren, R-Gold River, now has the slimmest registration edge of any Republican-held congressional district in the state.
The optimism is not completely unfounded. Durston, has learned valuable lessons from his first run. Though initially reluctant to face the rigors of another campaign, he has come out much stronger, grown his base of support, and become a much better fundraiser. Durston has grown as a candidate.
Is it enough? Time and time again it has been pointed out that Durston is on the right side of the issues. He supports universal health care, wants to end the occupation in Iraq, is in favor of the Employee Free Choice Act, promotes renewable energy, and supports "clean money" campaigns. Sometimes though, Durston's anti-Lungren message seems louder than his pro-Durston message.
With registration numbers moving in Durston's favor, perhaps it is time to tone down the anti-Lungren talk and ramp up the pro-Durston message. Lungren won't lose because voters liken him to John Doolittle or Richard Pombo. Durston will find it difficult to win if he is simply seen as the anti-Lungren. A Durston message that focuses on who he is and what he will do may be just the ticket to take advantage of shifting registration numbers.
Randy Bayne is Chair of the Amador County Democratic Party. This article originally appeared in The Bayne of Blogs and is published with the permission of the author.
Comments
Having been a Lungren constituent for a number of frustrating years now - I would vote for a bear before I'd vote for Lungren.
Fortunately I don't have too.
I have taken advantage of a number of events where I was able to meet Bill Durston and his supporters, I've been impressed every time and am delighted there is such a great candidate that I can and do support on his own merits.
I encourage every voter in the district to get out and meet him.
Wouldn't it be great to have a Representative who actually represents us?
Posted by: Karan Hatzenbeler at August 18, 2008 04:08 PM
I do not want to vote for Dan Lungren for only one reason. He constantly and continuously called on my telephone regarding a useless town hall meeting. That was an intrusion into my home and privacy. Otherwise he may have been doing a fine job. Just allow me my privacy. As for Druston,,,I didn't even know about the man until I opened the ballot. I picked anyone but Lungren only because of the phone calls.
Posted by: Delores Linder at October 16, 2008 05:49 PM
You can call Gary at 916-705-9538.
Gary Davis To Challenge Dan Lungren for Congressional Seat
“We need an advocate for good jobs and to keep our tax dollars local.”
Today, Elk Grove City Council Member Gary Davis announced his
candidacy for Congressional District 3. He is joined by a bipartisan
coalition of elected officials, community and business leaders.
“I was born and raised in this district. I love serving on the City
Council and being mayor. As mayor, I have a strong track record of
creating jobs and improving the safety of our neighborhoods,” Davis
said. “But the best way to serve my community is to go to Washington
and keep up the fight.”
“Our region has been hit hard by the economic downturn. We need
jobs,” Davis continued. “In Washington, I’ll make sure our communities
are getting the resources and leadership needed to be at the center of
the economic recovery.”
“It’s time for a member of Congress who works hard and brings fresh
ideas to the table to help address the urgent challenges we face,”
Davis concluded.
Local business owner Brian Cooley agrees. “The reason Gary is
supported by Republicans and Democrats is because he puts the
community above partisan politics. He is one of the good guys,” said
Cooley.
Los Rios Community College District Board Member Kay Albiani, a
supporter of Davis, stated, “Gary has the experience and energy to
bring leadership and resources back to our neighborhoods. He has
always been easily accessible to parents and teachers. I fully
endorse his candidacy for Congress.”
Congressional District 3 encompasses much of Sacramento County
including Elk Grove, Rancho Cordova, Citrus Heights, Carmichael, as
well as parts of Arden-Arcade. The district also includes part of
Solano County along with Amador, Calaveras and Alpine Counties. This
district has been changing in recent years. Barack Obama narrowly
beat John McCain here in November 2008. For more information on Gary
Davis’ candidacy, check out his web site at www.DavisBeatsLungren.com.
Posted by: Ryan at May 13, 2009 11:30 AM
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