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Frank D. Russo

The California Progress Report is published by Frank D. Russo, a longtime observer of and participant in California politics.

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Yeah, But Democrats Stole the Election For Kennedy 47 Years Ago (So Anything Done by the G.O.P. is OK)

towashington 089.gif By Bill Cavala
A veteran of over 30 years in Sacramento

It’s urban legend. The father of Chicago’s current Mayor allegedly added more Cook County votes to Illinois totals than Republicans could make up down state, delivering his state’s electoral votes and the Presidency to Jack Kennedy.

Forget the fact that there is no, I repeat, NO historical evidence to back that assertion. It must be true, because it was Dick Nixon’s justification for Watergate and all the other dirty tricks pulled off by the GOP that year (including Nixon’s use of surrogates to preclude the opening of Vietnam Peace talks).

Spies used to talk about meeting being held under “Moscow Rules” – which meant without trust. Or, to misquote Butch Cassidy, “there can’t be rules in a knife fight”! That’s how Republicans view campaigns and elections.

“Cheaters never prosper” was a schoolyard taunt when I was young. I’m sure children today don’t use it because it is so obviously false. The President cheated in Florida to win office. Republicans in Congress and members of the Bush Administration have used the government for purely political ends. Yesterday the former Republican Governor of Pennsylvania and high-ranking Justice Department official asserted his belief that Democratic officials were targeted in corruption cases while Republicans were not.

The latest Republican move is to change the allocation of California’s electoral votes to give the Republican candidate for President a better chance to win. Currently all our votes are given to the winner of the majority of votes cast for President. The Republicans want to divide California’s votes, giving all of them to the winner by Congressional District.

In context, this would award electoral votes from safe Republican Congressional seats to the GOP candidate they can’t hope to win under the current rules.

But the votes of (mostly African-American) votes in the 11 states of the old Confederacy would still be awarded – on a 100% basis) to the winner of the majority Republican vote in that area. So this isn’t about the fairness of a winner-take-all electoral system. The Republicans are perfectly content to keep that system in the South where it benefits them. They only want to change them in California – where a change helps them win.

After all, there are no rules in a knife fight….!

Bill Cavala was Deputy Director of the Assembly Speaker’s Office of Member Services where he worked for over 30 years.

He attended undergraduate and graduate school in the 1960’s and received a doctorate in political science at UC Berkeley. He taught political science at UC Berkeley during the 1970's while he worked part-time for the State Assembly.

Cavala left teaching at UC Berkeley and went to work for Assembly Speaker Willie Brown in 1981 until his tenure as Speaker ended in 1995, and he has worked for his five successors as Speaker up to and including Speaker Fabian Nunez.

Mr. Cavala manages election campaigns for Democratic candidates.

Posted on October 25, 2007

Comments

Some Democrats want to give up the power of redistricting to be "fair" to the Republicans.

Posted by: Making Matters Worse at October 25, 2007 03:18 PM

So if its unfair for us Californians to have our vote separated, perhaps it should be done as a national law for every state.

At least that would be closer to a direct polular vote.

If every state had districts up for grabs, candidates would certainly have to rethink their campaign stategy.

Posted by: AngelDecoys at October 25, 2007 03:36 PM

I'm sure you're right in that the Democrates will fight anything that changes the electoral count in California. Parties do what is in the best interest of itself.

I would also guess, that if California separated its electoral votes by candidate, that CA would be the first state to push changing the way its done on a national level.

And I thought Democrates wanted every vote to count?

If done nationally, that would bring the vote closer to a direct democracy. It also changes the dymanic from large v small state, to rural v. urban.

Posted by: AngelDecoys at October 25, 2007 03:52 PM

I'm sure you're right in that the Democrates will fight anything that changes the electoral count in California. Parties do what is in the best interest of itself.

I would also guess, that if California separated its electoral votes by candidate, that CA would be the first state to push changing the way its done on a national level.

It also changes the dymanic from large v small state, to rural district v. urban district.

And I thought Democrates wanted every vote to count?

That would be closer; another amendment not necessary.

Posted by: AngelDecoys at October 25, 2007 04:09 PM

Cavala is getting at somthing larger here, which is, to wit: what is the value of an American? Republican efforts for the last quarter century have been to reduce the value of large numbers of Americans to, essntially, zero. The economic result has been to restore the distribution of wealth to Gilded Age levels (there are claims that it is the result of globablization but the distribution of wealth in European countries, including England, has not been so dramatically skewed).

Not unnaturally, most Americans don't particularly like being on the bottom of this pyramid (there are news reports out today that half of Americans have trouble sleeping because of economic insecurity. Half!). The Republican response has been to, rather than attept to even things out, to try and disenfranchise these stressed out Americans. Republican efforts in California, on the allocation of electoral votes and redistricting, are further efforts in this direction.

Wake up Democrats! You face a determined and implacable foe in the current Republican party. Negotiate for your interests, rather than for some abstract goal of "fairness", which reduces down to a concept we might hear bandied about on Fox News.

Posted by: publius at October 25, 2007 04:14 PM

publius: Any larger state (regardless of party in charge) wouldn't want to change the way it counts electoral votes. So don't simply blame 1 party.

I would imagine Texas, Ohio, Illinois, and Florida also would not wish their electoral votes decided on by district. Most are firmly Republican controlled.

I imagine no large state would do so. (It reduces any power, and thus influence, on the natioanl scene.)

As a conservative, I hate to see my vote wasted in CA every election (not that it stops me). That's also true for Democrates in GOP states.

If its done in CA, I would wager a sudden shift from CA politicians demanding the same change, citing 'fairness' across the country.

Ridding ourselves of the electoral college seems unlikley, however reforming it on a national scale would seem a better move.

And its closer toward a straight democracy, thereby making my vote count.

Posted by: AngelDecoys at October 25, 2007 05:18 PM


a "sudden shift toward fairness" in the Confederacy??

Why don't we hold their hat and wait on them?

Posted by: william cavala at October 25, 2007 05:50 PM

AngelDecoys: There is one bill in the California legislature, SB 37 (Migden) the National Popular Vote bill, that would have California and other states award their votes to the winner of the national popular vote. That way whoever wins the most votes nationwide wins the presidency.

That would have every vote count equally.

It passed with Democratic votes and was vetoed by Governor Schwarzenegger in the last session in 2006 as AB 2848.

So, you are not correct in statements that Democrats do not support changes in the Electoral College. And if you check articles written by me on this issue in these pages, you will see that I have supported it.

Changing to a vote by Congressional District in California will actually increase the likelihood of a President elected while receiving less votes nationwide-- http://www.californiaprogressreport.com/2007/09/dividing_califo.html

And if you don't believe that that is exactly what the Republicans have in pushing their scheme, look no further than to what Tony Andrade, who has been pushing this proposal had to say in a comment to an article earlier this week on that proposal: "Since the Electoral College meets on Dec. 1, 2008 the passed Initiative would be in effect. The Democrat candidate would lose 24 electoral votes and lose the National election."

He's admitted in his own words what this is all about. I rest my case.

Posted by: Frank D. Russo at October 25, 2007 10:38 PM

It is high time my vote will count. I always felt disenfranchised since the big liberal city voters always stole the show and the media pandered to the articulate liberal speakers. People who do not share their philosophy had no where to go.
California is not just Los Angeles or just the Bay Area.
California is politically diverse and liberals do not speak for me and my take on issues.
We need to be represented in national politics.
This proposition will give us back our voices.
We want our fair share of air time.
We want our turn at being heard.
We pay taxes too.

Posted by: Tony Andrade at October 26, 2007 06:42 AM

Russo: I don't doubt that Republicans have an agenda with the initiative. As a conservative, I doubt I would vote for it myself. Nor do I doubt that Democrates have their agenda either.

Any state premoninantly controlled by 1 party would resist any such change.

While I would prefer each district electoral vote to be counted separately, I don't think its in California's best interest to be only 1 of a handful of states to do so (and the only large state).

I only see that idea working on a national level for every state, at the same time. Everyone must give a little to gain a little.

Otherwise, CA becomes simply a bunch of smaller states with regards to electoral votes.

Regarding AB 2848. I care even less for that idea. In essence, candidates could totally avoid California knowing that if they won all the other larger states, and all the other votes, that Californias electoral count is thrown their direction automatically.

If that were the case, why bother counting votes in CA at all?

Good intent, bad execution.

Posted by: AngelDecoys at October 26, 2007 06:44 AM

National popular vote would have put California in the Bush camp in 2004. That would have been something to see the President gets crushed in CA and yet walks away with the biggest piece of the pie.

Wasn't it the North Carolina Democrats who pushed the district electoral plan and only stopped when Howard Dean slapped them upside the head and said you're giving the Republicans out in California ideas.

Posted by: sean at October 26, 2007 07:47 AM

Russo: Upon reading more about the law, and link you provided, I will have to reflect a bit before making further judgment. Its creative, I'll give it that.

Honestly, It sounds like it would just be easier to amend the Constitution over waiting for the pre-requisite states to enact such legislation.

Ridding ourselves of the electoral college entirely would be more straight forward.

Posted by: AngelDecoys at October 26, 2007 10:40 AM

You'll be waiting a good deal longer for the Constitution to be amended, I'll guarnatee you. A Two-thirds vote in Congress and 3/4 of the tates ratifying it.

Posted by: Frank D. Russo at October 27, 2007 11:30 AM

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