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G.O.P. Electoral Vote Scheme Blows Up – Spreading Egg All Over Faces of Republican Operatives, Shills

towashington 089.gif By Bill Cavala
A veteran of over 30 years in Sacramento

Willie Brown used to say that Republicans could screw up a one car funeral. Their latest scheme to steal the Presidency (once again) just blew up in their collective faces.

Here was the plan. Since the distribution of California’s electoral votes is done along California statutory lines, G.O.P. operatives could change California’s law by initiative to eliminate the ‘winner take all’ result in place for generations and substituting winner-by-Congressional district. Instead of no votes, the Republican Presidential candidate would get at least 40%. That’s enough to swing a close election decisively to the Republican.

The plan was to change the rules of the game here in California while leaving winner take all outcomes in the 11 states of the old Confederacy.

Pretty clever, no?

Mavens like Dan Walters thought it a “fair” reform. Of course, any change in the rules that favors the Republicans is a “reform”. In any case, it could be used by the Republicans as leverage to force changes in California’s redistricting laws. Or at least it would cost Democrats a lot of money to restore the status quo.

But there were some problems.

First, the lawyer fronting the plan was from an obscure small town in the Midwest. His bio included a beef involving allegations that he bit a woman in the buttocks (!)

Second, the $175,000 put into the scheme wasn’t disclosed. Now that was bright.
Just as Hillary Clinton stumbles over the involvement of a fundraiser with a criminal background, the GOP decides to publicize their own mistakes by hiding a $175,000 donor. (Was it the mafia? Red China?). After days of bad press, it turns out to be a Guliani fat cat ostensibly acting on his own – who somehow found this obscure attorney in the Midwest who arranged to submit the plan for title and summary here in California.

Hmmm.

Third, these operatives forgot that Jerry Brown does “title and summary” for ballot measures. Remember Jerry Brown? He’s the guy who emphasized that the term limit reform measure punishes politicians by limiting their total take in the Legislature – rather than emphasizing the fact that it provides more time in each House than does current law.

You should read the “title and summary” given to this scheme! A panel of political science professors couldn’t figure it out.

Neither could a statewide sample of voters. When read the title and summary, they couldn’t understand what it did – and reacted accordingly. When in doubt, vote ‘No’.
The Title and Summary of the Electoral Vote Scheme was rejected 25-48 with 27% undecided. Against no opposition, such a ballot measure would lose even if millions were spent in its behalf.

D.O.A. on arrival with the voters. Once this fact was verified by interested parties in the GOP, they began to bail out. The local front man quit the campaign. Fundraising failure followed quickly. Now it’s down to finger pointing.

So there is no “leverage” against the Democrats here. It is the Republicans who are out money, not the Democrats. What started out with public support in the abstract winds up being a public relations disaster for the Republicans as the short-term labels as the desperate party of “dirty tricks” becomes a sobriquet increasingly legitimate among non-Republican journalists.

In December of 1982, Governor Brown called a special session to replace the legislative district boundaries successfully dissed in a Republican referendum a year earlier. With Brown out and Deukmejian (and Reagan) in and riding high, several Democratic legislators came to Speaker Brown to suggest we allocate California’s electoral votes proportionately to make it harder for Reagan to win again nationally. Brown said no, arguing that it was shortsighted to make changes in the rules that could hurt us when the worm turned.

Willie Brown was, as usual, right.

Bill Cavala was Deputy Director of the Assembly Speaker’s Office of Member Services where he worked for over 30 years.

He attended undergraduate and graduate school in the 1960’s and received a doctorate in political science at UC Berkeley. He taught political science at UC Berkeley during the 1970's while he worked part-time for the State Assembly.

Cavala left teaching at UC Berkeley and went to work for Assembly Speaker Willie Brown in 1981 until his tenure as Speaker ended in 1995, and he has worked for his five successors as Speaker up to and including Speaker Fabian Nunez.

Mr. Cavala manages election campaigns for Democratic candidates.

Posted on October 01, 2007

Comments

I don't normally comment...but Republicans steal the election!

there is no way to spin a change in the law that more accurately identifies voters with their preference for president!

Posted by: Strom at October 1, 2007 04:03 PM

I don't normally comment...but Republicans steal the election!

there is no way to spin a change in the law that more accurately identifies voters with their preference for president! Granted it does favor Republicans but that is BESIDES the point!

I think sometimes the pundits forget that politics and policy are different and at some point the politics need to cede day good policy, regardless of the political outcome.

Posted by: Strom at October 1, 2007 04:06 PM

I don't normally comment...but Republicans steal the election!

there is no way to spin a change in the law that more accurately identifies voters with their preference for president! Granted it does favor Republicans but that is BESIDES the point!

I think sometimes the pundits forget that politics and policy are different and at some point the politics need to cede the day to good policy, regardless of the political outcome because in the long run what is best for the country must prevail and what is best will continually shift from one party to the other.

Posted by: Strom at October 1, 2007 04:07 PM

Bill "one party" Cavala, your axe has two blades:

Jerry Brown "emphasizing" the Term Limits "Initiative" actually "punishes" politicians because they will spend less time in the legislature... yea, right...

Except for our current Speaker Nunez and Senate Pro Tem Perata who instead of being termed out NOW under EXISTING LAW will get to hang around an ADDITIONAL TERM.

This initiative made it through the signature process to place it on the ballot at the last minute by a mere 900 odd signatures. Only a 900ish signature margin in a state with the population of California??? And after some 3 democratic counties "recounted" their earlier submitted signature totals which generated the 900 surplus signatures?

Sure, go ahead and blame the other party in our two party system for Florida 2000 and this electoral college "effort" of late. But your one party just did the EXACT same things with recounting signatures and the way y'all are writing the term limits "initiative"; by NOT emphasizing Nunez, Perata and all the EXISTING crop of politicians get to stick around longer than already voter approved term limit laws allow for.

By your own definitions used with republican antics, does this make you a democrat "shill" for using similar tactics?

Your candidate Hillary is from The "Old Confederacy". So were Presidents Clinton, Carter, Johnson and Truman (Missorri being a border state). I'm intrigued by your latest bashing of the south as some republican "stronghold" when all of your post WWII democrat presidents except for JFK came from there! (I thought you had a degree in political science?)

Bill, you still haven't mentioned which candidates election campaigns you will be working for so we can measure them accordingly. Inquiring minds want to know!

Posted by: Jay Gould at October 1, 2007 04:51 PM

Strom's either an idiot or blind to reality. It does seem the Republicans are shooting off their own foot here, but I believe it is because the mainstream press has been enabling them for the last quarter-century. As a little known fact, the increase in inequaltiy in the distribution of income in this country coincides pretty much with the first cut in the capital gains (from 70% to 50%, in 1978). Further cuts, more inequality (Reagan, Bush). Less governemental services (Bush's attempt to gut social security). Love to see a discussion of this on Fox news (or any news program).

Posted by: publius at October 1, 2007 04:54 PM

Thanks for the report. I hope that you are correct.
They seem to have violated a number of California laws.

Posted by: Duane Campbell at October 1, 2007 09:10 PM

typical lefty response...call me an idiot then don't explain your strong "feelings" with a logical, linear argument to refute what I said!

the FACT is winner take all electors is a bastardization of the system! either we have a direct vote by the people or an electorial system the as closely as possible reflects the will of people. it just so happens political this proposed change helps republicans.

Posted by: strom at October 2, 2007 01:05 PM

Strom: The response of calling someone an idiot and not giving reasons is not a typical lefty one--I see it all too frequently from those on the right as well on these pages.

Given all that we now know about this ballot proposition and the fact that it was financed and pushed forward by Republicans, many of them hiding their involvement in contributions and the like, I think it is disengenuous to say the least, to argue that it "just so happens" that this one favored the Republicans.

Not a single Republican legislator voted for the National Public Vote bill passed last year by the California legislature, and almost passed this year, but perched to pass next year out of our legislature.

Even if it just so happened that there were changes being made in red states like Texas, I would be reticent to support a Congressional District division of Electoral College votes. It ought to be one person, one vote--and I would hope that you and others would join in that principle.

Posted by: Frank D. Russo at October 2, 2007 04:22 PM

gotta respond!!! again!! no direct response to my point!

I was not commenting on the Republicans who funded it. It does not matter (to my point) that they were republicans, felons or dog catchers.

Texas or some other policy matter also does not matter to my point.

MY POINT was that democracy is the essence of our country and we should strive toward it at all costs, whatever the political outcome or who funded it or if they filed the right paperwork or made the right disclosures.

The reason political discourse in this country sucks so bad it that each side does what you are doing...we stake our our party lines and defend them, good or bad

Posted by: Strom at October 3, 2007 11:24 AM

Strom: We're talking past one another.

I strongly support democracy and have been on record for some time for a national public vote on the Presidency. One man one vote. Whoever gets the most votes wins. Period. Good or bad for my party or other parties.

This ballot proposition was not an extension of democracy--it was a distortion of it--designed to change the rules right before the election, knowing full well that it would benefit only one party--the Republicans, financed by Republicans, and not making it more likely to reflect the national vote.

I am not dumb enough to be snookered by and to agree to a proposal designed to aid one side and one side only. And that would include a proposal to aid the Democrats only.

Posted by: Frank D. Russo at October 3, 2007 02:39 PM

But Mr. Russo, You so obviously back the current "Term Limits Initiative" which will reduce legislative politicians to 12 vice 14 years, BUT-BUT will also allow democrats, Speaker Nunez and Senate Pro Tem Perata an ADDITIONAL TERM over existing term limits laws, all passed by California's voters in the 1990's.

Is this ballot measure self serving to those two gentlemen? Politicians who would obviously be termed out next time around? And "right before" they would have to leave office?

Should Californians be "dumb enough" to be "snookered" here too with an initiative that will benefit democrats only? Or at least these two specific democrats in the most powerful positions in the legislature?

Please answer the question and let us not talk past each other either. I request you visit the blogs on Ms. Lyons "Rush to Judgement (I Hope)" article which the point of responsible dialog has become an issue.

Thanks for your time.

Posted by: Jay Gould at October 3, 2007 07:45 PM

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