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The California Progress Report is published by Frank D. Russo, a longtime observer of and participant in California politics.

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GOVERNOR JERRY BROWN AND PRESIDENT HILLARY CLINTON?

towashington 089.gif By Bill Cavala
A veteran of over 30 years in Sacramento

Proposition 34, the wound self-inflicted by Democrats, places limits on contributions to candidates for Governor so restrictive that only wealthy candidates or the already famous can compete in the Democratic primary.

Bill Lockyer, a prodigious fundraiser with an office suited for Governor, chose not to run at least in part because he’d been able to raise only $10m and found the prospect of a year and a half of nothing but fundraising took the glitter off the goal of Governor.

John Garamendi has wanted the office since he was a young man and now has an office with no work – so he has four years to prepare. But John is a poor fundraiser and would be fortunate to hit the mark Lockyer found inadequate when he left the field.

And so on. Only Phil Angelides and Steve Westly have the personal resources needed to compete for the nomination. Both are likely to do so. Neither seems likely to be the billionaire Insurance Commissioner Poizner in my estimation. Westly couldn’t beat Angelides. Angelides has defined himself as a candidate of our base. He might give Tom McClintock a race, but Poizner is a moving target.

Which brings me to Jerry Brown.

He’s not a great fundraiser either, but he’s really famous. Not the “heard of him” famous – really famous. Voters have an opinion about Jerry. A good opinion.

Conservatives can flap around all they want. But sarcasm about ‘moonbeam’ and other snide remarks did nothing to slow Brown down last year. He now leads all Democratic hopefuls by a wide margin. He can win the nomination without money.

And he can beat Poizner or any other Republican. The reason has nothing to do with Greenhouse gas issues.

Voters like Brown because they believe him to be honest. They perceive him to be a politician unbought and unbuyable by the special interests. They know his weakness is a tendency to pander to public opinion – and they like that. It means he panders to them. All that’s powerful stuff.

President Hillary Clinton and Governor Jerry Brown. They may not herald the beginning of a new age, but it surely will give Russ Limbaugh and his colleagues something to talk about. For eight years.

Bill Cavala was Deputy Director of the Assembly Speaker’s Office of Member Services where he worked for over 30 years.

He attended undergraduate and graduate school in the 1960’s and received a doctorate in political science at UC Berkeley. He taught political science at UC Berkeley during the 1970's while he worked part-time for the State Assembly.

Cavala left teaching at UC Berkeley and went to work for Assembly Speaker Willie Brown in 1981 until his tenure as Speaker ended in 1995, and he has worked for his five successors as Speaker up to and including Speaker Fabian Nunez.

Mr. Cavala manages election campaigns for Democratic candidates.

Posted on August 23, 2007

Comments

Yes that is true,
I have a very good opinion about Jerry Brown.
good move.

Posted by: juego de casino at August 23, 2007 08:28 AM

Isn't it something that only billionaires can represent the Democratic Party -- the "party of the people?"

I'd vote for -- and work for -- Jerry Brown for California's governor in a hot second.

Posted by: Dick Price at August 23, 2007 09:16 AM

Well, it is interesting to know of your pick. I worked to elect Brown last time. And, I remember well his era. He presided over the fall of California schools from 5th. in the nation to 48th. It is not an accident that it was followed by decades of Republican rule.
And, what has Jerry proved as Mayor of Oakland. Are things substantially better?
I agaree that D.P. activists would support Brown, but I do not see any evidence that the voters would. There is certainly plenty of amunition to use against him. Although I work hard in almost every campaign, it would be hard to get up much energy for Jerry.

Posted by: Duane Campbell at August 23, 2007 11:49 AM

Hillary Clinton, if elected president, will indeed provide great material for conservative talk radio commentators and pundits.

Posted by: Sheldon at August 23, 2007 09:14 PM

Oh yeah the "If I become President, I will DO" kind of President candidate....Hillary.

For starter why not deliver and exercise some real leadership in enforcing the U.S Constitution NOW and "DO" now what is important like impeaching the current president and vice president for crimes and for creating an unprecedented expansion of Executive Power; instead of making promises AFTER and only then she would ACT to make change.

Does she WANT that ambitious expansion of POWER? Is that why she and Democratic cronies have NO interest in IMPEACHMENT? BECAUSE of the already EXPANDED EXECUTIVE POWER that all the presidential candidate is salivating?

Corporate contributors has delivered millions to her campaign therefore she has to deliver favorable outcome in return to them. It is okay to do this, but she has an obligation as a democratic candidate to deliver to the people, while she is still in the body of SENATE. If she has any clout, which I have no doubt she has, can use it to influence the current leaders to uphold the U.S.Constitution by impeaching the Prez and his administration for their apparent crimes and deceptions.

If she can't do this option after what has been done to her husband and the Clinton Presidency fail in comparison to what the BUSH has done, then IT appears that her loyalty is NOT for the AMERICAN PEOPLE and the U.S. Constitution but for the Corporate and her ambition to become the MOST powerful female of the Freeworld as the President of the United State and the much EXPANDED POWER that she is anticipating that the BUSH has set up.

Posted by: Anon at August 24, 2007 04:07 AM

Bill,

Why do repeat the tired old saw that Garamendi can't raise money? Have you actually looked at the fundraising totals for the statewide Democratic nominees from last year? For a guy running for an office "with no work," he outraised most, and did it without taking a dime from insurance companies and many other corporate special interests. And he did it without "rolling in" pre-prop 34 contributions.

Furthermore, I'll bet the guys at BHP who spent millions lobbying for approval to build a dangerous and unnecessary LNG plant off the Oxnard/Malibu coast would argue with you about whether or not the Lieutenant Governor has no work.

If you want to promote Jerry Brown's potential - or Lockyer's - you'll get no argument here, these guys would be terrific governors. But please stop repeating the tired old myth that Garamendi can't raise money and has nothing to do.

(disclosure - I am a member of Garamendi's staff)

Posted by: Eric Bauman, Chair LA County Democratic Party at August 24, 2007 07:14 AM


I'm arguing that no one not immensely wealthy can raise the money to compete in a primary with those who are - except Jerry.

That means John G.,Bill L., and John Chaing and Antonio V. won't have the $30+ Million needed to compete effectively with Phil or Westlye.

John and Bill - together - won't raise enough under the contribution limits imposed by Prop 34.

Posted by: william cavala at August 24, 2007 09:21 AM

Well, Bill, somebody ought to say a good word for our old buddy Lockyer.

He would probably agree with you: $30 million? Not likely (although he's still sitting on 10 of the 30 left over from the Campaign-That-Never-Was).

But, maybe because I'm not a practical pro, I disagree. I think Lockyer is just as potentially "fascinating" as Brown - and a lot less erratic. There may be millions of California Democrats who would vote for Jerry again. But I'm not one of them. I haven't forgotten his last gubernatorial Administration. "Colorful"? Yeah. So is Santa Claus.

Lockyer could run a campaign that could capture the imagination of voters. He's never had to in the past, but that doesn't mean he couldn't in the future. And I still think he'd make a better Govenor than any other potential candidate on the Democratic landscape.


Posted by: Smith at August 27, 2007 05:36 PM

Hey, Jerry Brown will have my vote. I believe he's true to his values, and that he is a visionary. He doesn't have a problem saying "ok, fine, you won't do what I want, I'll just find another way." Would that voters had more options like Jerry and Hillary.

Posted by: cara at August 30, 2007 01:02 AM

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