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High Speed Rail: A Necessity for California

By Margaret Okuzumi
Executive Director
BayRail Alliance
Before he came around to supporting it, Governor Gray Davis once called high-speed rail the "Buck Rogers train" -- a characterization that now seems as dated as Buck Rogers himself, as numerous so-called developing countries progress in building their own High Speed Rail (HSR) systems and as other countries celebrate decades of enjoying its benefits. Rather than a sci-fi fantasy, high-speed rail is looking like a necessity for California. It is indeed an ambitious project -- it would be the largest public works project in the history of California -- but the infrastructure problems that California faces need bold solutions. A future without HSR looks untenable in terms of additional pollution, gridlock, environmental destruction and cost to California.
BayRail Alliance, a non-profit organization dedicated to the improvement of passenger rail infrastructure in the San Francisco Bay Area, urges support for the $103 million requested by the California High Speed Rail Authority in the 2007-2008 budget. These funds will enable the authority to complete a detailed environmental review of the high-speed train proposal, continue engineering, and begin to preserve key rights-of-way necessary for the project. It will build upon the approximately $47 million invested to date in environmental and design work, keeping this public infrastructure project "on track". High-speed rail is critically important to our state for the many reasons that we outline below.
Significant Greenhouse Gas Reductions
High-speed rail will help California reduce a substantial portion of its transportation-related greenhouse gas emissions. Governor Schwarzenegger's Executive Order S-3-05 established a goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions to 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050. This is an ambitious goal that our state would like to attain, compared to the 2020 goal of reducing emissions to 1990 levels, yet our state does not yet have a plan to meet this target.
The Transportation and Land Use Coalition, a non-profit organization in Oakland, has calculated that building high-speed rail would keep 8.7 – 11.9 million metric tons of greenhouse gases out of our atmosphere in 2030 (the higher numbers assume that air and automobile travel costs have increased), over what would be emitted if highways and airports were expanded instead. Additional savings would be possible if smart land use policies were in place.
By comparison, the Governor's Climate Change Action Team has outlined a goal of removing 9 million metric tons of CO2 equivalent through transportation energy efficiency, and 18 million metric tons through "smart land use and use of intelligent transportation technology" by 2020 to meet AB 32 goals. High-speed rail would help us meet a large fraction of our greenhouse gas reduction targets, and does so while improving mobility.
Climate change has severe consequences for California. An increase in summer droughts and winter floods, heat-related deaths, impacts to our $30 billion agriculture industry, rising sea levels, are a few of major impacts that have been assessed by California Energy Commission's California Climate Change Center — and any of these impacts would extract a high price from California.
It would not be consistent with the Governor's support of greenhouse gas reductions to halt development of the high-speed rail project this year by giving the CHSRA only $1.2 million instead of the requested $103 million. This would prevent the completion of the environmental review in a timely or useful fashion, wasting money in the work done to date, and would substantially cripple private-sector enthusiasm and momentum for the project.
Alternatives Are More Costly and Infeasible
While high-speed rail would be the largest public works project in the history of California, and thereby presents a cost that seems daunting, it's cheap compared to the alternatives. In lieu of high-speed rail, the state would need a combination of more than 2,900 new lane-mi (4,667 km) of highway, 6 new runways, and 68 new airport gates to meet the projected travel demand. Altogether the various piecemeal costs of building these highway and airport expansions amount to at least twice as much the cost of building high-speed rail. To this we can add the costs that result from increasing our greenhouse gas emissions and from worsening our health and air quality.
Large expansions to airport capacity are not even a viable option in some cases. For example, Los Angeles planned to spend $11 Billion to expand LAX. This plan was dropped in part because of environmental concerns and neighborhood resistance. Los Angeles has agreed to a settlement that requires LAX to reduce capacity and cap its annual usage. Orange County also turned down the opportunity to move its airport from the cramped current location to the much larger former El Toro air base.
Forty-four percent of CA inter-city trips involve either a Central Valley origin or destination, or both; yet Stockton has only a single airline, which serves only a single destination -- Las Vegas. The closest airport to Stockton with California service is Modesto, 45 minutes away, which only has one carrier - United - serving only LAX and SFO. That Modesto - SFO flight costs $279. High-speed rail would provide more convenient and less expensive travel options to Central Valley residents to access many popular destinations within California -- access that airlines cannot or have been unwilling to provide -- for a marginal cost in addition to connecting the major urban centers of the Bay Area, Los Angeles and San Diego.
High-speed rail is a very reliable and also very comfortable and pleasant way to travel. Unlike automobile and airplanes, high-speed rail trains run on time, regardless of fog or rain. In Japan, a high-speed train's average deviation from schedule is less than 20 seconds. Overall journey times are frequently reduced compared to flying, because train stations can be located in downtowns with easy connecting transit and closer to most travelers' starting and final destinations -- as opposed to airports which are typically located on the periphery of cities sometimes many minutes from downtown. And high-speed rail is an accessible form of transport even to those who have difficulty driving or flying due to medical reasons.
If nothing is done to meet our future mobility needs, California will lose a tremendous amount of productivity to gridlock, suffer damage to our economy, experience untold frustration and reduced quality of life. High-speed rail provides a pleasant and cost-effective alternative to that scenario.
Many Benefits
Not only is high-speed rail necessary for the future mobility of the state, it's also an important economic development project. As defined by the program-level EIR, an estimated 450,000 jobs would be created through its construction.
In conjunction with smart land use policies, high-speed rail would help preserve farmland and reduce sprawl.
High-speed rail would save money for California by reducing traffic deaths and injuries from people who would otherwise drive or fly. High-speed rail has an impressive safety record. There have been no passenger fatalities as a result of a crash or derailment in the last several decades in France and Japan, and one crash involving an ICE train in Germany in 1998, due to a "freak accident" that killed 95 people. Since that time, technology has been developed to scan the tracks far ahead of the train, and operation is automated using computers to be able to stop a train far ahead of what an operator's reflexes would otherwise permit. High-speed rail is a very safe means of transport and building it will save lives.
Regional trains can also share tracks with high-speed rail trains, as is common elsewhere in the world. This would further enhance mobility and goods movement in already congested areas of California. Many of our passenger rail lines struggle with reliability issues from having to share congested tracks belonging to private freight companies which are struggling to meet the increasing demand for freight transport. High-speed rail is important to these communities as an investment that can be leveraged to improve the speed and reliability of local and regional service.
High-speed rail, based on a business model more akin to airlines than traditional public transit, is a money-maker that attracts private investment. However, that private investment will only materialize if a substantial amount of the risk is removed by completion of environmental studies and commitment from the public sector. Companies are leery of investing substantial sums in high-speed rail, if they are at risk of having the plug pulled on the project by the state government, as happened in Florida under Jeb Bush. California must demonstrate a high level of commitment to high-speed rail to make it a reality.
High-speed rail has proven technology and a strong track record. It's long been a reality in other countries. Japan celebrated 40 years of high-speed rail in 2004. Their first high-speed rail trains are now in museums. Profits generated by their high-speed rail system have been used to subsidize local commuter lines.
It's time for California to catch up with countries like Taiwan, Turkey, Argentina, and Mexico, which have recently built or are in the process of constructing high-speed rail lines.
Margaret Okuzumi is the executive director of BayRail Alliance, a non-profit organization dedicated to the improvement of passenger rail infrastructure in the San Francisco Bay Area. A committed environmentalist, she is a leader for the local Sierra Club and teaches cycling road skills classes as a certified instructor for the League of American Bicyclists. Ms. Okuzumi also serves on the Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority Citizens Advisory Committee and is currently chair of the Metropolitan Transportation Commission Advisory Council. She is a member of the Silicon Valley Dean Democratic Club and is a state delegate from the 22nd AD.
Comments
Here's a letter written to the Oakland Tribune which has come out in support of the Governor's stance on HSR:
From: steve@urbanspace.biz
Subject: Tribune Myopia?
Date: May 17, 2007 8:07:29 PM PDT
To: triblet@angnewspapers.com
Cc: mreynolds@angnewspapers.com, cburt@angnewspapers.com
Editor(s):
What are we going to do with you guys? Everyone who understands how
much pollution the airline industry generates (on top of the all the autos,
trucks, construction machinery, etc., up and down the State) ought to be
in full support of near-zero polluting High Speed Rail on just that basis alone
(to say nothing of the millions to be saved on PSA's lobbying against it).
But that's not the Opinion of the Oakland Tribune's stolid editorial department
(California bullet train belongs on back burner: May 16). The Trib apparently
wants to see how many more tons of airborne crud Oakland lungs can take
before the planet collapses altogether, yes? We already know that West Oakland,
transportation nexus of the Bay Area that it is, has one of the highest rates of
asthma anywhere in the State, but, according to Tribthink, "California has an
abundance of higher priorities."
How about this priority instead, one that East Bay taxpayers might want
to consider, since, as the HSR route currently envisioned goes to SJ,
SV and then on into SF and not anywhere near Oakland, it's us'ns who'll
be biting the bullet somewhat harder than our West Bay counterparts:
Let's have the HSR railhead in the Bay Area be a sort of Grand Central Station
that serves the greater metropolitan region, with other transit systems
feeding into that one terminal. Instead of paying for new rights of ways,
miles of redundant trackage, more ditzy bureaucrats, cost overruns, etc.,
we could be plowing that same amount of money straight from the
HSR budget right into our own, already built, upgrade-needy
transportation infrastructure.
Imagine BART with an Express function so that maybe four stops
only from SJ to SF define the trip: Fremont, Hayward,
Oakland Airport, Downtown Oakland, and - zip - right into
Embarcadero station, maybe 30 minutes max, instead of the
lugubrious, hour-long, 12-stop trek it will likely become once
the Warm Springs-to-SJ link is installed (and don't forget that
we still can anticipate getting snookered once again by that wily,
Oakland-eschewing cabal of "entrepreneurs," so's Lew Wolff City
can receive the subsidy of still another BART extension).
I think I'd rather spend my infinitesimal contribution to HSR expressly
on an improved BART system, especially since we can begin immediately!
No wait for all that extremely complicated construction up and down
the Central Valley maybe ten years from now; we can have our part
happen now, when and where it's most obviously needed.
The impact on our regional economy will pay huge dividends if
we keep on building our infrastructure to greet HSR when it finally
arrives sometime toward the middle of the next decade. But it'll
never get here at all - nor will any of the benefits we could be
deriving right this minute - if we follow the Tribune's latest
low-speed, luddite logic.
Cordially,
- Steve Lowe
VP, West Oakland Commerce Association
189 3rd Street A-415
Oakland CA 94607
- 510 835 8424
Posted by: steve lowe at May 22, 2007 03:00 PM
With the state’s population projected to reach an estimated 48 million by 2030 and with growing concern over the inadequacy of many of the Golden State’s highways and airports, as well as deteriorating air quality, one would think these would justify the need for a comprehensive transportation package and that would include High Speed Rail; HSR, of course, able to move travelers cost-effectively, comfortably, efficiently, quickly, reliably and safely. It’s also an environmentally sound way to travel.
In 1990, “the Clean Air and Transportation Improvement Act (Proposition 116) provided $5 million to conduct HSR feasibility and preliminary engineering studies for the Los Angeles to Bakersfield Corridor. In 1993, an Executive Order from the Governor and Senate Concurrent Resolution 6 (SCR6) established the California Intercity High Speed Rail Commission to develop an HSR plan with service between northern and southern California within 20 years.” (Distribution of the California Intercity High Speed Rail Commission). To help carry out this plan, four main studies, including: Corridor Evaluation, Ridership Analysis, Economic Impact, and Financing Options, were undertaken with final resolution in 1997. The study’s findings revealed that HSR in California is not only feasible, but has strong public support. This would have meant the projected year of completion would have been 2013. Now this date will come and go with no state HSR up and running by that time.
In 1993 dollars, the amount of money expected to take to complete the 700-mile statewide HSR project was $25 billion. Today, costs to complete the same 700-mile network are projected to be upwards of $40 billion, a 60 percent increase. The long and short of it is the longer building what is to be California’s biggest public works undertaking is put off, the more and more prohibitively expensive it becomes to construct. So, with this in mind, why not begin with the construction of a “starter” system, say between Los Angeles and Bakersfield, for example, and then incrementally build on from there?
Why Los Angeles/Bakersfield?
The reasons should be obvious. First, there is ongoing discussion centered on narrowing the gap in direct rail service between those two municipalities. Being proposed is the extension of Amtrak’s San Joaquin trains south of Bakersfield to Wheeler Ridge, with connecting Amtrak Thruway Bus service between Wheeler Ridge and Saugus (near Valencia), where passengers would then board other trains to reach LAUPT and additional points. Currently, train passengers are discharged at Bakersfield’s modern Amtrak station, where, if they’re continuing their southward journeys, board corresponding buses for the purpose of being ferried to LAUPT. Installation and implementation of HSR between the Bakersfield and Los Angeles would obviate the need for the proposed aforementioned extensions. The gap in direct rail service between Bakersfield and Los Angeles alone should be reason enough for this gap to be rail-bridged. California, meanwhile, with its technological superiority and as economically well off as the Golden State is purported to be, by not having direct rail service between the San Joaquin Valley (which is experiencing exponential growth) and the southland, borders on the unconscionable, especially when one takes into account the expected gains in air pollution and traffic congestion mitigation that would be made by getting travelers out of their vehicles and aboard trains.
“Patterns of urban growth of Post WWII North American development have created cities and regions that are centered upon and are dependent on the car to meet transportation needs,” argues the Center for Clean Air Policy. “All told, this pattern of growth has resulted in deteriorating urban air quality and human health, increased emissions of greenhouse gases, limited transportation and housing choice, inefficient use of infrastructure, and communities that are less able to meet the needs of their residents.” (Center for Clean Air Policy, “CCAP Transportation Guidebook, Part 1: Land Use, Transit & Travel Demand Management,” p. 7. For more information log on to: www.ccap.org/guidebook.) Those reasons alone make switching modes more than justifiable.
So what to do?
In lieu of HSR in California not yet getting the green light and moving ahead, should efforts instead be concentrated on: Increasing schedules on all Amtrak "California" corridor trains; improving existing and purchasing new rolling stock; purchasing new, more fuel-efficient and far less-polluting locomotives; improving track, roadbed and signaling with areas of double and even triple track (incorporating freight by-passes like the one in place at the Martinez, California station); and on marketing and safety? Should it not also be impressed upon Californians that efforts be focused on building new and expanding ancillary transportation services such as existing commuter rail and mass transit (bus and rail) feeder systems?
I’m firmly convinced that when the traveling public en masse becomes absolutely gridlocked, will we come to recognize and realize the marked social/environmental/quality-of-life benefits that passenger rail provides, and then and only then will true High Speed Rail in California (and elsewhere in the nation, for that matter) have its day.
The bottom line is we simply cannot afford to wait until the day that “immobility” becomes the rule, instead of the exception it is currently. The time for California High Speed Rail is now!
Alan Kandel
Posted by: Alan Kandel at May 23, 2007 11:29 AM
Among all other sources of justification for HSR is a report by the Urban Land Institute (ULI): "Infrastructure 2007: A global Perspective", which discusses in detail all kinds of massive overdue transportation infrastructure investment needs ACROSS THE ENTIRE U.S. (as well as the rest of the world)! It also explains in detail the extreme reluctance with which politicians will raise taxes or create any other financing means to generate the $ billions required.
For you subscribers/readers of TIME MAGAZINE, I draw your attention to a bottom-of-page summary on "Nation Building", on pages 16 & 17 of the May 28, 2007 issue, which presumes to comment on the ULI study. Time's summary section on "RAILWAYS" starts with the phrase, "Forget bullet trains", a gross misrepresentation by TIME, diametrically opposite to what is actually in the ULI report, a really staggering, unprofessional doctoring of a complex issue. Some editor at TIME must think, who would bother to investigate TIME's vaguely referenced source of the Urban Land Institute info? WELL, I DID!! Over a period of hours, after phoning the ULI for confirmation of a pdf copy of the report, downloadable from their website, I am pleased to report the following direct quote from the study:
"RAILWAYS. Experts agree that rail freight must increase to take pressure off roads (comma needed) and high-population regional corridors need passenger trains, PREFERABLY HIGH-SPEED RAIL (caps added by me for emphasis) to provide efficient inter-city transport. ..." (Paragraph continues with statements on rail hub choke points, $250 billion needed to "catch up", etc, etc.)
...not a damn thing about, "Forget bullet trains"!!! Shame on TIME magazine!!! Piss-poor, unethical cowboy journalism!!!
If any HSR proponents out there doubt the huge negative impact of a host of HSR nay-sayers and think tanks, spewing acres of garbage mis-informational crap on HSR, sponsored, no doubt, by any number of opposed special interests, including airlines, auto companies, oil companies, and road building contractors, stand by! It's gonna be a helluv'an uphill battle!
A California Senate subcommittee on the 22nd May approved a $45.2 million budget for Cal HSR, with Assembly consideration slated for today (May 23), less than half what the HSR Authority requested.
Posted by: John Shields at May 23, 2007 05:42 PM
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