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Frank D. Russo

The California Progress Report is published by Frank D. Russo, a longtime observer of and participant in California politics.

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Electoral College Reform Picking up Steam: National Popular Vote for President Bill Passes California Senate

Scott-in-Senate-on-National.jpg
Senator Jack Scott speaking in support of SB 37 (Migden) shortly before it passed on the floor

By Frank D. Russo

The Electoral College will go the way of the dodo bird if states with the number of electoral votes needed to elect a President bind together in an interstate compact and pledge their votes to the candidate who wins the popular vote nationwide. This idea is gaining support in state capitols across the nation and already has its first state committed to do so, the state of Maryland under a law signed by its Democratic Governor in April.

Despite the headline in today's San Jose Mercury News, "Proposal to skirt Electoral College heads to governor", California isn't quite there yet. Yesterday, the California State Senate passed SB 37 by Senator Carole Migden on a 22 to 14 to have California award our electoral votes to the national popular vote winner but it has to pass the Assembly before it will be back on the Governor's desk. Last year, an identical measure passed the Assembly on a 44 to 25 vote margin only to be vetoed by Governor Schwarzenegger.

This year, the Governor has taken no position on the bill according what Aaron McLear, the Governor's press secretary told the Mercury News.

California has not mattered in most recent Presidential elections because our primary election has been late in the process and then in November, the state has been reliably "blue" since 1992.
We are now basking in the attention of Presidential candidates in both parties because we moved our primary ahead to February 2, but the day after Super Duper Tuesday as it is called, we will predictably not see much of the action as the nominees of the parties will concentrate their efforts on the handful of "swing" states.

This should not be a partisan issue, although the bill passed with only Democratic votes for it and only Republican votes against it in the California Senate. Neither party has any discernable advantage with the Electoral College. Al Gore won the popular vote by half a million votes and lost the Electoral College in 2000. In 2004, John Kerry lost the popular vote by over 3 million votes but a shift of only 110,000 votes in Ohio would have given him the Electoral College, despite the popular vote nationwide.

If Arnold Schwarzenegger cares about the democratic (with a small "d") principle and also wants California to be a player and have our votes really count in November, he will reconsider his position on the bill. SB 37 and similar legislation in other states will not go into effect until states representing a majority of electoral votes have approved it.

It's really very simple--either you believe in majority rule or you do not. If you want the system gamed as it is now, then let's keep the Electoral College and plenty of us will have to go out of state to influence future Presidential elections, as many of us did in 2004.

In an article in the Los Angeles Times, "In voting to end electoral college, Maryland dares to go where Schwarzenegger wouldn't", George Skelton put it this way:

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger vetoed an identical bill after studying the measure for, it seemed, about three seconds. "It disregards the will of a majority of Californians," he said in his veto message, pointing out that the state's electoral votes could be awarded to a candidate most Californians didn't favor.

To accept the popular vote concept, one has to support the notion of American citizens being allowed to elect their president directly, rather than it being the privilege of the states.

The bil's author, Senator Carole Migden, said, “It is astounding to me that the world’s greatest democracy does not directly elect the President by a vote of the people. A national popular vote for President will, for the first time, make every vote equal. A vote in California will be as sought after as a vote in Ohio or Florida. That is not currently the case.”

A national popular vote would fundamentally alter the conduct of presidential campaigns. Currently, candidates essentially ignore more than two-thirds of the country because they are “safe states.” More than 97 percent of all campaign activity, including candidate visits, advertising, organizing, polling and other events, occurs in the 16 or so “battleground states.”

“If a candidate does not have to actively campaign in California, it follows that they will not be well versed in the issues important to our state. Candidates will come to California to raise money, but will continue to avoid discussing California issues,” continued Migden in the floor debate. “A national popular vote will change that dynamic and force candidates for the first time to campaign not only in California, but also across the nation.

For more information, read Skelton's column, check out our articles, or visit the National Popular Vote site and don't miss their map showing how this is spreading from state to state. And beware of red herrings the opposition will throw in to confuse the matter. It is a really simple and elegant concept: one person, one vote. Either you are for it or against it.

Posted on May 15, 2007

Comments

There's a good reason that seven in ten Californians (and 7 in 10 Americans) would like to elect the president by a national popular vote -- being created equal and having the consent of the governed are rather fundamental to our identity and vision of representative democracy. The current system badly fails to achieve those principles, and Californial legislators are right to accept the responsibility the Constitution gives them to fix a broken system. Let's hope the governor gets it right this time!

Posted by: Rob Richie at May 15, 2007 05:01 PM

It's unfortunate that we have elected officials who don't understand the difference between a democracy and a republic. Perhaps Migden should go back to 5th grade civics. By the way, this is unconstitutional. If you claim that this would give the voters of California their voice, you are dreaming. California overwhelmingly supported John Kerry. Under this idiocy, they would have gone for George Bush. This makes states with small populations mean nothing. So instead of ignoring California and New York, candidates will ignore Wyoming, Montana, Idaho, Rhode Island, Vermont, etc. Basically, just campaign in Los Angeles, New York, Chicago, Miami, Atlanta, San Diego, and Dallas. That should do it. Dumb.

Posted by: Jason at September 17, 2007 10:49 PM

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